Isbuucaan (Feb 16–20, 2026) waa isbuuc ay isugu darsameen Bank Holidays bilowga ah iyo xog aad u culus dhammaadka isbuuca. Marka laga soo tago jadwalka rasmiga ah, halkan waxaa ku yaalla arrimaha "daah-goobka" ah ee saameynta yeelan kara:
1. Dagaalka Ganacsiga (Trade War) iyo CNY
Maadaama Shiinuhu uu ku jiro fasaxa sanadka cusub (Lunar New Year) isbuuca oo dhan, mugga ganacsiga ee suuqa Aasiya waa uu yaraanayaa.
Waxa la filaayo: Isbeddel degdeg ah (flash moves) oo ku yimaada AUD iyo NZD maadaama lacagahaas ay aad ugu xiran yihiin ganacsiga Shiinaha, suuquna uu yahay mid "thin" ah (cid yar ay joogto).
2. Isbeddelka Sicir-bararka (The Inflation Story)
Jimcaha waxaa soo baxaya xogta Core PCE, taas oo ah cabbirka uu Bangiga Fed-ka Maraykanku ugu kalsoon yahay sicir-bararka.
Saameynta: Haddii xogtani ay ka sarreyso 0.3%, suuqu wuxuu filan doonaa in Fed-ku uu dib u dhigo dhimista dulsaarka. Tani waxay Doollarka (USD) kor u qaadi kartaa si xooggan, Dahabkana hoos ayay u dhigi kartaa.
3. Shirka FOMC Minutes (Arbaco 10:00pm)
Kani ma ahan go'aan dhab ah, laakiin waa qoraalkii shirkii hore.
Maxaa laga dhex raadinayaa? Ma jiri doontaa calaamad muujinaysa in xubnaha Fed-ku ay isku raacsan yihiin in dhaqaaluhu qaboobayo? Haddii qoraalku u muuqdo mid "Hawkish" (rabitaanka dulsaar sare), Doollarku wuu sii xoogaysan doonaa.
4. Xaaladda Geopolitical (Xiisadaha Caalamiga)
Maadaama la joogo Febraayo 2026, waxaa la filayaa in isbeddellada siyaasadeed ee Maraykanka (Trump Administration) ay keenaan hadallo kedis ah oo ku saabsan:
Canshuuraha (Tariffs): Hadal kasta oo ku saabsan canshuur kordhin lagu soo rogayo dalalka Yurub ama Mexico wuxuu daciifin doonaa EUR iyo MXN.
Dagaalka Ukraine/Russia: Sanad-guurada dagaalka oo ku beegan dabayaaqada bisha Febraayo waxay keentaa inta badan "Safe Haven demand" oo Dahabka kor u qaada.
📊 Falanqaynta Lammaanaha (Pairs to Watch):
| Lammaanaha (Pair) | Heerka (Level) Muhiimka ah | Sababta |
| USD/CAD | 1.3550 - 1.3650 | Waxaa isugu darsamay fasaxa Isniinta iyo CPI-ga Canada ee Talaadada. |
| NZD/USD | 0.6100 | Go'aanka Interest Rate-ka ee Arbacada ayaa go'aamin doona jiheynta bishaan. |
| XAU/USD (Gold) | $2,650 - $2,750 | Wuxuu sugayaa xogta GDP iyo PCE ee Jimcaha si uu u go'aansado jidka uu u marayo $2,800. |
⚠️ Talo Muhiim ah:
Isbuucaan wuxuu ku bilaabanayaa si gaabin ah (slow start), laakiin wuxuu ku dhamaanayaa si aad u kulul (explosive finish). Jimcaha waa maalinta ugu khatarta badan sababtoo ah GDP iyo PCE ayaa isku mar soo baxaya. Isku day inaad xirto boosaskaaga (trades) ka hor intaan xogtaas la soo saarin haddii aadan rabin inaad gasho khatar weyn.
